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Financial Crises and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis

Citation

Azam, RI and Imran, R and Batool, I and Hunjra, Ai and Mahmood, J and Chani, MI, Financial Crises and Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Time Series Analysis, Middle East Journal of Scientific Research, 9, (3) pp. 425-430. ISSN 1990-9233 (2011) [Refereed Article]


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Copyright Statement

Copyright 2011 IDOSI Publications

Official URL: http://www.idosi.org/mejsr/mejsr9(3)11/21.pdf

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to investigate the effects of inflation, interest rate and increase in the amount of foreign debt on economic growth of Pakistan. To indicate main factors of crisis so that inflation rates, higher interest rate and increase in the amount of foreign debt can be controlled. The secondary data was used in this study. The data has been obtained for the years 1972 to 2010 from website of business recorder. E-views was employed for analysis. To examine correlation between macro economic variables and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) augmented dickey fuller test of unit root, Johansenís co-integration test and Granger-causality tests were put in. This study concludes that only Interest rate and foreign debts are having co-integration, whereas inflation and GDP is having no co integration between themselves. Interest rate is an essential device available to Government to intervene in the financial system of the country. However, rising interest rates in the country depress stock returns and can result in higher cost of debt. It is also concluded that GDP has relationship between all macro economic variables used in this study except FD.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Macro economic variables, Economic growth, Co-Integration, Financial system
Research Division:Economics
Research Group:Other Economics
Research Field:Economics not elsewhere classified
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding Knowledge in Economics
Author:Mahmood, J (Mr Javed Mahmood)
ID Code:100858
Year Published:2011
Deposited By:Tasmanian School of Business and Economics
Deposited On:2015-06-02
Last Modified:2015-09-09
Downloads:0

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