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Direct and indirect effects of climate and fishing on changes in coastal ecosystem services: a historical perspective from the North Sea
Citation
Selim, SA and Blanchard, JL and Bedford, J and Webb, TJ, Direct and indirect effects of climate and fishing on changes in coastal ecosystem services: a historical perspective from the North Sea, Regional Environmental Change, 16, (2) pp. 341-351. ISSN 1436-3798 (2014) [Refereed Article]
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Copyright Statement
Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
DOI: doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0635-7
Abstract
Humanity depends on the marine environment
for a range of vital ecosystem services, at global (e.g. climate
regulation), regional (e.g. commercial fisheries) and
local scales (e.g. coastal defence and recreation). At the
same time, marine ecosystems have been exploited for
centuries, and many systems today are under stress from
multiple sources. Recent studies have shown how both
climate change and fishing have caused long-term changes
in the marine environment. However, there is still poor
understanding of how these changes influence change in
coastal ecosystem services. In this paper, an integrated
modelling approach is used to assess how the final delivery
of marine ecosystem services to coastal communities is
influenced by the direct and indirect effects of changes in
ecosystem processes brought about by climate and human
impacts, using fisheries of the North Sea region as a case
study. Partial least squares path analysis is used to explore
the relationships between drivers of change, marine ecosystem
processes and services (landings). A simple conceptual
model with four variables—climate, fishing effort,
ecosystem process and ecosystem services—is applied to
the English North Sea using historic ecological, climatic
and fisheries time series spanning 1924–2010 to identify
the multiple pathways that might exist. As expected, direct
and indirect links between fishing effort, ecosystem processes
and service provision were significant. However,
links between climate and ecosystem processes were weak.
This paper highlights how path analysis can be used for
analysing long-term temporal links between ecosystem
processes and services following a simplified pathway.
Item Details
| Item Type: | Refereed Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | marine ecosystem services, historical ecology |
| Research Division: | Biological Sciences |
| Research Group: | Other Biological Sciences |
| Research Field: | Global Change Biology |
| Objective Division: | Environment |
| Objective Group: | Ecosystem Assessment and Management |
| Objective Field: | Ecosystem Assessment and Management of Coastal and Estuarine Environments |
| UTAS Author: | Blanchard, JL (Dr Julia Blanchard) |
| ID Code: | 100469 |
| Year Published: | 2014 |
| Web of Science® Times Cited: | 5 |
| Deposited By: | Sustainable Marine Research Collaboration |
| Deposited On: | 2015-05-18 |
| Last Modified: | 2017-11-06 |
| Downloads: | 163 View Download Statistics |
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